Matej Dodig vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Dodig has shown stronger second serve performance recently, winning 44.74% of points, compared to Aguilar's 41.74%.
• Aguilar has outperformed Dodig in return games lately, winning 51.4% of second serve return points versus Dodig's 47.11%.
• Looking at first serve returns, Aguilar again leads with 32.7% compared to Dodig's 28.92%.
• Dodig has been slightly better at saving breakpoints, with a success rate of 54.47%, while Aguilar saves 50.72%.
• Over the past year, Aguilar has a higher match win percentage (66.67%) compared to Dodig's 45.61%.
• On their best surfaces, Dodig excels on hard courts (68% win rate), while Aguilar is strongest on clay (60% win rate).
• Both players have similar experiences at the Challenger/ITF level, but Aguilar has a higher win rate (54.35% vs. Dodig’s 42.55%).
• Dodig has faced tougher competition over the past year, with opponents averaging a rank of 324.96, compared to Aguilar's 384.99.
• In deciding sets, Aguilar has the edge, winning 56% of such sets, while Dodig wins 45%.
• Dodig shows a marginally better breakpoint conversion rate at 34.39%, slightly ahead of Aguilar's 33.88%.

Editorial Prediction (June 16, 2025, UTC):

As the match approaches, the statistics paint an intriguing picture. Dodig has an edge in his recent second serve performance and breakpoint save percentage, which are vital aspects of maintaining his service games during crucial moments.

On the other hand, Aguilar's superior return game, particularly on both first and second serves, could provide him with more opportunities to break Dodig's serve. Additionally, Aguilar has a higher overall match win percentage and a slight advantage in deciding sets, suggesting a steadier performance in critical situations.

Each player's surface preferences indicate that while Dodig is better on hard courts, Aguilar's adaptability across surfaces provides him with more balance.

Given these insights, Aguilar seems more likely to seize the win in this upcoming match, leveraging his return game and mental steadiness to secure victory.